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Moscow Oil Refinery Faces Extended Shutdown Amid Ukraine Conflict

The Moscow oil refinery, strategically located southeast of the capital city and operated by Gazprom Neft, is confronting the possibility of an operational suspension extending until 2027 following severe structural damage caused by multiple long-range Ukrainian drone attacks. This prolonged shutdown exacerbates Russia's ongoing energy crisis, creating significant challenges for the nation's fuel supply chain and economic stability, according to recent reports from Reuters.



Severe Structural Damage

The refinery experienced two devastating attacks within a single week in mid-June, resulting in critical damage to a primary fuel processing unit responsible for approximately 53% of the facility's total refining capacity. As a direct consequence of these targeted strikes, the refinery is projected to remain offline for a minimum of six months, potentially longer depending on the extent of structural repairs required.



ParameterValue
Annual processing capacity11.6 million tons of crude oil (2024)
Moscow's fuel supply percentageNearly 50%
Projected offline durationMinimum 6 months

Russia's Fuel Supply Crisis

The extended operational suspension of this critical refinery infrastructure has intensified Russia's fuel shortage crisis, forcing the government to consider increasingly drastic measures to stabilize domestic supplies. Alexander Novak, Russia's Deputy Prime Minister, recently disclosed that authorities are contemplating a complete ban on diesel exports, in addition to implementing measures to facilitate fuel imports via maritime routes to address the domestic shortage.



  • Localized fuel shortages have already resulted in a nearly 25% weekly reduction in gasoline production capacity.
  • Regions such as Crimea are experiencing particularly severe shortages, compelling local authorities to implement stringent purchase restrictions.
  • Approximately 10 Russian regions have implemented fuel rationing systems, typically limiting purchases to 30-40 liters per vehicle.

Government Response Measures

Novak has characterized the nation's fuel situation as challenging but manageable. To compensate for the lost refining capacity, the Russian government is implementing several emergency measures, including tax incentives to encourage domestic fuel distribution, postponement of scheduled refinery maintenance, and utilization of previously untapped emergency reserves.



MeasureObjective
Tax incentives for domestic deliveryEnhance domestic fuel supply
Postponement of refinery maintenanceMaximize operational capacity of remaining facilities
Utilization of emergency reservesAddress immediate demand requirements

Import Solutions Under Consideration

Moscow is actively exploring fuel import options from various countries, including Turkey and other Asian suppliers, while simultaneously considering subsidies to stabilize domestic fuel prices. The nation's strategic storage facilities, managed by the Federal State Reserve Agency (Rosrezerv), have also become targets of Ukrainian missile attacks. A recent significant strike on the Kombinat Temp storage facility in Rybinsk destroyed 15 tactical fuel storage tanks, further complicating Russia's fuel supply management.



These developments underscore that the conflict in Ukraine continues to impact not only regional security but also places unprecedented strain on Russia's economic and energy infrastructure, presenting substantial challenges for both government authorities and ordinary citizens. The extended shutdown of the Moscow refinery represents a critical vulnerability in Russia's energy sector that will likely have far-reaching implications for the nation's fuel security and economic stability in the coming years.